Economy

Will China Confront a Revolution of Rising Expectations?

2019-11-25

Amid much discussion of the challenges facing the Chinese economy, the line-up of usual suspects typically excludes the most worrying scenario of all

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How the IMF Can Battle Gradual Irrelevance

2019-11-24

The convening power of the IMF and the World Bank is unquestionably strong, if not unique. Every year, their annual meetings attract top economic and financial officials from more than 180 countries

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A Living Wage for Capitalism

2019-11-18

Higher nominal wages for low-paid workers can boost real earnings, increase consumer spending, and help make housing more affordable.

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The Digital Money Revolution

2019-11-16

The rapid pace and sheer scale of innovation in digital currencies and mobile payments indicates that a monetary revolution is forthcoming. The choice for governments

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The End of Neoliberalism and the Rebirth of History

2019-11-09

For 40 years, elites in rich and poor countries alike promised that neoliberal policies would lead to faster economic growth, and that the benefits would trickle down so that everyone

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Santiago Under Siege

2019-11-03

At least 19 dead and untold wounded. A half-dozen subway stations attacked with firebombs. Hundreds of supermarkets vandalized and looted.

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The Open Secret of Development Economics

2019-10-30

To many in China, this years Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences seems to have shone a spotlight on one area of development economics at the expense of another. While randomized controlled trials might be useful for creating or improving welfare pro

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How a Weaponized Dollar Could Backfire

2019-10-27

United States foreign policy under President Donald Trump continues to run counter to Americas traditional post-war objectives. Should the US carelessly relinquish leadership of the global multilateral order...

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Argentina Must Not Waste Its Crisis

2019-10-26

To explain Argentinas chronic instability and episodic illiquidity, one must look beyond idiosyncratic leaders, temporary external shocks, and specific policy mistakes.

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Locking China Out of the Dollar System

2019-10-23

By broadening the nexus between economic interest and national security, Trump is encouraging the decoupling of the worlds two largest economies and the emergence of a bipolar world order led by rival hegemons.

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Is Post-Brexit London Really Doomed?

2019-10-22

Despite the likelihood of a harder-than-expected Brexit, and the certain loss of the so-called passport, which would allow financial services to be sold freely across the EU...

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Can Synchronized Stagnation Be Stopped?

2019-10-20

Given the growing risk of economic stagnation, governments may soon need to provide further stimulus – ideally in tandem with broader structural reforms...

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Will Libra Be Stillborn?

2019-10-16

Where the problem for economies and financial services is lack of competition, residents of developing countries need to look to their own regulators and politicians...

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Iraq, China launch oil for reconstruction agreement

2019-10-14

Baghdad has forged a 20-year deal to supply Beijing with oil in exchange for Chinese investments in projects to repair Iraqs war-damaged infrastructure.

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The Global Retreat of Free Trade

2019-09-30

At last months G7 summit in Biarritz, leaders again paid lip service to reforming the World Trade Organization. But, given the US led effort to weaken the WTO

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Four Collision Courses for the Global Economy

2019-09-28

Between US President Donald Trumps zero-sum disputes with China and Iran, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnsons brinkmanship with Parliament and the European Union

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The Return of Fiscal Policy

2019-09-23

With interest rates at record lows and global growth set to continue decelerating, there has rarely been a better time for governments to invest in infrastructure and other sources of...

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The Benefits of a Progressive Consumption Tax

2019-09-18

Many economists already favor a consumption-based tax system for raising revenue on grounds of efficiency and simplicity.

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Amid Global Economic Uncertainty, What Do You Anticipate Will Be the Trend in Oil Prices in the Coming Year?

2019-09-15

A regular survey of experts on matters relating to Middle Eastern and North African politics and security.

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Two Systems, One World

2019-09-05

Like the twentieth-century Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, the new rivalry between China and the West is a contest between fundamentally incompatible political systems.

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Whither Central Banking?

2019-09-02

In an environment of secular stagnation in the developed economies, central bankers ingenuity in loosening monetary policy is exactly what is not needed. What is needed are admissions of impotence, in order to spur efforts by governments to promote demand

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Is Stakeholder Capitalism Really Back?

2019-09-01

We will have to wait and see whether the US Business Roundtables recent statement renouncing corporate governance based on shareholder primacy is merely a publicity stunt.

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The Anatomy of the Coming Recession

2019-08-25

Unlike the 2008 global financial crisis, which was mostly a large negative aggregate demand shock, the next recession is likely to be caused by permanent negative supply shocks

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IMF Executive Board Concludes 2019 Article IV Consultation with Iraq

2019-08-21

An improved security situation and the recovery in oil prices have improved near-term vulnerabilities

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