How Will the Coronavirus Crisis Affect Your Middle Eastern Focus Area in the Coming Months?

2020 Apr 07

A regular survey of experts on matters relating to Middle Eastern and North African politics and security.


Don’t Count Out U.S. Oil Production as a Market-Shaper

2020 Mar 22

Total U.S. production from all sources will remain the worlds largest no matter how low prices go, leaving Washington (and Texas) with considerable room to help domestic companies and press Riyadh and Moscow on stabilizing prices.


Russia and Saudis in a Knife Fight Over Oil—But We May Be the Victims

2020 Mar 14

A train wreck is about to occur in the oil market, and there will be casualties. Russia and Saudi Arabia, which previously had cooperated in making the world market well-supplied, no longer can agree on how to share the benefits.


Making Sense of the Saudi Rumors: A Guide to Royal Family Politics

2020 Mar 12

Reports of royal arrests, a possible coup plot, and a brewing oil price war suggest that the kingdom is facing another period of considerable political tension.


The US no longer matters in Syria

2019 Nov 03

Fundamentally, the ceasefire, assumes the U.S. still matters in Syria. It does not.


Putin in the Gulf: Working with the Saudis on arms, oil and Syria

2019 Oct 16

Moscow and Riyadh agreed to disagree but it does not exclude their cooperation in areas of mutual interest


Iraq, China launch oil for reconstruction agreement

2019 Oct 14

Baghdad has forged a 20-year deal to supply Beijing with oil in exchange for Chinese investments in projects to repair Iraqs war-damaged infrastructure.


The Real Reason Trump Won’t Attack Iran

2019 Sep 19

Starting a war to protect oil markets will only backfire.


Trump Team Debates Response to Strikes on Saudi Oil

2019 Sep 18

Pentagon is cautious as Riyadh requests additional U.S. forces.


Amid Global Economic Uncertainty, What Do You Anticipate Will Be the Trend in Oil Prices in the Coming Year?

2019 Sep 15

A regular survey of experts on matters relating to Middle Eastern and North African politics and security.


The Anatomy of the Coming Recession

2019 Aug 25

Unlike the 2008 global financial crisis, which was mostly a large negative aggregate demand shock, the next recession is likely to be caused by permanent negative supply shocks


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