The Washington Institute

Implications of the Saudi Corruption Arrests

2020-03-20

The latest crackdown appears to have targeted senior defense and interior officials, spurring speculation that they are linked to previously detained princes rumored to be plotting a coup.

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How the U.S. Can Stop the Surge of Deadly Rocket Attacks in Iraq

2020-03-16

Congress and the Trump administration should privately agree to some ground rules for timing deterrent strikes on truly high-value targets, while quietly deploying more force-protection assets like Patriot missiles.

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Russia and Saudis in a Knife Fight Over Oil—But We May Be the Victims

2020-03-14

A train wreck is about to occur in the oil market, and there will be casualties. Russia and Saudi Arabia, which previously had cooperated in making the world market well-supplied, no longer can agree on how to share the benefits.

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Making Sense of the Saudi Rumors: A Guide to Royal Family Politics

2020-03-12

Reports of royal arrests, a possible coup plot, and a brewing oil price war suggest that the kingdom is facing another period of considerable political tension.

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The Shia vs. the ‘Shia Crescent’

2020-03-10

Whether by force or politics, Iran desperately needs to reconsolidate power among Shia constituencies throughout the region, but this challenge may prove insurmountable given current public sentiment in Iraq and Lebanon.

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The Middle East’s Future of Perpetual Pandemics

2020-03-03

If outbreaks like the coronavirus shift from ‘black swan’ events to regular occurrences, globalization trends in the region may reverse, with sobering consequences.

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Iran’s New Budget Is Tight, But Not Tight Enough

2019-12-17

Rouhani has taken a remarkably austere fiscal approach ahead of the looming parliamentary election, but the countrys economic situation is still not sustainable over the long run.

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Polling Insights on Iraq’s Shia Revolt

2019-11-24

Iraqi Shia have lost faith in their government because it has failed to meet their basic needs in any of these three categories. After the fall of Saddam Hussein and the rise of new governance models

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The Geopolitical Stakes in Iraq

2019-10-22

Russia has steadily inserted itself into Iraqs military, energy, and educational sectors, and these relationships could turn Baghdad further away from the United States now that the Trump administration has ceded Syria to Moscow.

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Iraq Is Not Yet Lost, But If We Continue to Ignore It, It Soon Will Be

2019-10-19

Muddled governance, harsh crackdowns, and outside interference threaten to overturn the fragile freedom that Iraqis have won at great cost.

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Operating in the ‘Gray Zone’ to Counter Iran

2019-09-22

The best way to counter Irans asymmetric strategy in Saudi Arabia and elsewhere is a U.S. gray zone strategy

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Is Iran Negotiating Its Way to Negotiations?

2019-09-05

While Tehrans internal debate about engagement with Washington intensifies, its words and actions already seem to be shaping even unintentionally the terms of any future talks.

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Bahrain’s Perception Problem

2019-08-05

New demonstrations, executions, and diplomatic quarrels threaten to undermine the island’s efforts to improve its pro-Western profile amid the Iran crisis.

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Sanctions on Iraqi Political Figures: Shaping the Impact and Message

2019-07-22

The United States is now designating politicians who place personal or Iranian interests above the needs of the Iraqi people, but these efforts could go awry if locals don’t understand the justification or consequences.

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There’s a Deal to Be Had Between the U.S. and Iran

2019-07-17

If Tehran agrees to extend the JCPOAs sunset provisions and curtail its activity in Syria and Lebanon, Washington may be willing to lift the nuclear sanctions and create a special-purpose vehicle.

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The Race for Istanbul: Erdogan’s Plan A and B

2019-06-17

Although massive state resources have been mobilized against Imamoglu, the opposition candidate has taken up the mantle of the underdog who could challenge the status quo nationally, just as Erdogan himself did two decades ago.

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Erdogan’s Failure on the Nile

2019-06-02

How Turkeys president went from being a regional Islamist leader in the Arab Spring to sharing Qatars role as the Middle Easts odd man out.

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Arabic Political Comedy: A Vector for Liberalization?

2018-10-06

To understand the thirst for this type of media it is important to reflect on past developments in Arabic language news

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The Worrisome Mystery of a Saudi Journalist’s Whereabouts

2018-10-06

If Riyadh did in fact order Khashoggi’s detention, it may be miscalculating the likely negative impact on U.S. diplomacy and Western investment.

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Quarter-Million Lives at Risk in Latest Battle for Yemen

2018-06-19

Now that the operation has begun, bipartisan congressional threats to sever U.S. military assistance because of humanitarian concerns will be tested.

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In Search of a New Patron, the KRG Turns Back to Moscow

2018-06-18

As the Iraqi Kurds reach out to Russia, the Kremlins sway over their politics and energy resources is growing.

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Saudi Arabia Hits the Brakes on Reforms

2018-05-28

Arresting feminists does not inspire faith in the crown princes much hyped reform agenda.

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